Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c06b26f182b624af2c1fa671a3043d0153ddf55ec12f2dd7039627fc5883a00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Inner Circle, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x209f…7a55backed Inner Circle | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers | 76c | 9,974$7,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.84 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Inner Circle | 29c | 4,842$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.89 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inner Circle | 24c | 3,342$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.82 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Inner Circle | 31c | 2,000$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.89 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Inner Circle | 27c | 1,557$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.11 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 1,540$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.26 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Inner Circle | 31c | 1,301$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Power Rangers | 75c | 844.51$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 24c | 832.39$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Inner Circle | 23c | 652.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 76c | 517.5$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 367$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Inner Circle | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Inner Circle | 37c | 258.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Power Rangers | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 25c | 212.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Inner Circle | 27c | 211.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Inner Circle | 13c | 210.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 76c | 182.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 72c | 166.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Power Rangers | 60c | 162.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Inner Circle | 25c | 157.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 147.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Inner Circle | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 25c | 136.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Power Rangers | 62c | 129.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Inner Circle | 33c | 129$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Inner Circle | 23c | 116.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…7c8abacked Power Rangers | 75c | 114.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Inner Circle | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Inner Circle | 22c | 103.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Inner Circle | 19c | 102.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle | 18c | 77.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Power Rangers | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 76c | 72.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Power Rangers | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Power Rangers | 75c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers | 47c | 42.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Power Rangers | 73c | 32.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Power Rangers | 62c | 32.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Inner Circle | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Power Rangers | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Power Rangers | 57c | 26.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Power Rangers | 67c | 21.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Power Rangers | 68c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Power Rangers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…5a9ebacked Power Rangers | 77c | 19.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f41backed Power Rangers | 76c | 15.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Power Rangers | 72c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group APower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.