Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b404297be52549ba9b59d09e9f80e2253dcfc18dfec64d65477eaee0587f9e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Inner Circle | 49c | 4,683$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.3 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers | 39c | 4,472$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.45 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Power Rangers | 68c | 1,550$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.99 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Inner Circle | 48c | 1,464$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.61 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Inner Circle | 50c | 1,410$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.19 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Inner Circle | 56c | 1,401$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.32 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Inner Circle | 74c | 1,278$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Power Rangers | 46c | 1,215$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.96 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 1,083$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.53 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Power Rangers | 52c | 1,002$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 35c | 928$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Inner Circle | 63c | 630.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 579.93$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Inner Circle | 40c | 545.55$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Power Rangers | 48c | 538.33$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Power Rangers | 48c | 376.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 62c | 374.31$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Power Rangers | 45c | 350$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 37c | 345.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.85 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 53c | 339.05$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 64c | 334.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Power Rangers | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Power Rangers | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Power Rangers | 69c | 288.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Inner Circle | 61c | 234.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Inner Circle | 34c | 233.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Inner Circle | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Power Rangers | 66c | 180.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 42c | 169.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 38c | 151.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Inner Circle | 78c | 145.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Inner Circle | 71c | 130.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…2735backed Power Rangers | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers | 49c | 103.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Power Rangers | 47c | 99.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Power Rangers | 56c | 80.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Inner Circle | 77c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Inner Circle | 80c | 69.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Power Rangers | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers | 55c | 51.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…26eabacked Power Rangers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…a60cbacked Power Rangers | 42c | 49.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Power Rangers | 37c | 47.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Inner Circle | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers | 43c | 32.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked Power Rangers | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…f82cbacked Inner Circle | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group APower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.