La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c845d267ef3cd2cc21887d2b45e1046b5e651ac099d7ba427c2658ae1667f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 34c | 16,084$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.36 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 10,223$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.97 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 4,907$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.74 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 4,343$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.6 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 3,813$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.35 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked Yes | 30c | 3,196$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 1,680$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 1,521$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.95 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 33c | 1,119$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.28 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,001$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 68c | 980.8$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 43c | 683.83$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.39 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 56c | 677.08$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.05 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 605.6$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.13 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 34c | 564.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Yes | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 469.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.76 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked No | 69c | 426.7$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 421.06$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 66c | 374.87$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 24c | 335.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 35c | 188.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 152$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 150.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 36c | 146.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 130.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 38c | 119.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 113.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9096…17dcbacked Yes | 56c | 112.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 101.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 33c | 89.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 89.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 63.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 31c | 60.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 33c | 57.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 68c | 55.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…be1cbacked Yes | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 47c | 46.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…3eb6backed Yes | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 42.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 67c | 35.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 35.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 31.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 53c | 30.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 64c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 67c | 22.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 66c | 22.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 20.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 68c | 20.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 67c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked No | 66c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked No | 75c | 13.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Málaga CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.