La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eae4022d424e1cd43bf5a2be43187ac4125b1f579384cdcc053c6a243e24466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Yes | 41c | 21,094$8,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,397.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 9,806$5,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.59 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 6,740$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.38 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 58c | 3,361$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.6 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 62c | 3,264$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.61 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,961$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.37 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed No | 58c | 2,928$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.79 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 59c | 2,806$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.75 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 935.74$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.01 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 850.23$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.43 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 789.3$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.54 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 42c | 629.89$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.93 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 564.03$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed No | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 306.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 26c | 305.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 42c | 299.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 38c | 288.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 287.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 257.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 38c | 245.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 38c | 223.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 25c | 219.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 214.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 58c | 193.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 144.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 21c | 137.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 62c | 119.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 76c | 113.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 38c | 111.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 21c | 97.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 12c | 95.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 77.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 72.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Yes | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 63.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 38c | 61.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 38c | 61.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 80c | 61.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 42c | 57.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…9fccbacked Yes | 31c | 50.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 26c | 38.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 52c | 37.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 59c | 29.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 71c | 27.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 77c | 25.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 69c | 20.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 61c | 16.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.