CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4fdcda049f615c3e283ff903d003ac996aa1145a4498b6ed60b6407249030a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 993.92$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Alliance | 18c | 608.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Alliance | 41c | 548.69$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Alliance | 44c | 454.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 323.41$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5162…584abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 267.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 80c | 248.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 244.37$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 178.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Alliance | 41c | 157.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Alliance | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Alliance | 12c | 132.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alliance | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Alliance | 21c | 94.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alliance | 44c | 92.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance | 42c | 77.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8b…d5d3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…a507backed Alliance | 48c | 50.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 33.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Alliance | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Alliance | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Alliance (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.