Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x969aca512e2af5cbb7f20d2eb63e412258fbbbd3fc2642469ce0a8f48dd8b1ae

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Kuopion PSof Sabah FK, Kuopion PS
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,526 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3ed…9f79backed Kuopion PS	58c	8,621$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,620.69	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Sabah FK	40c	8,219$3,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,307.25	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Sabah FK	36c	3,632$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sabah FK	46c	3,483$1,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,602.42	467	41.5%194 W · 273 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kuopion PS	55c	2,731$1,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,238.92	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Kuopion PS	55c	1,888$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.34	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Kuopion PS	64c	1,874$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.79	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Kuopion PS	49c	1,672$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$859.66	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Sabah FK	60c	1,659$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Kuopion PS	56c	1,539$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.58	723	35.5%257 W · 466 L	-28.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Kuopion PS	61c	1,497$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.99	299	49.5%148 W · 151 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Sabah FK	37c	1,306$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.4	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sabah FK	43c	1,188$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.3	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Kuopion PS	66c	699.96$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.99	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Sabah FK	44c	682.39$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Sabah FK	41c	609.76$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.17per pick	29cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Sabah FK	42c	601.44$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sabah FK	54c	601$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.54	376	49.5%186 W · 190 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kuopion PS	60c	532.97$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.85	432	52.3%226 W · 206 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Kuopion PS	61c	499.99$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.99	381	42.8%163 W · 218 L	-22.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Sabah FK	42c	390$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.8	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Kuopion PS	62c	350.89$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.59	318	47.5%151 W · 167 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Sabah FK	34c	320.41$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.94	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kuopion PS	60c	247.96$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.91	520	46.7%243 W · 277 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Sabah FK	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Sabah FK	42c	203.2$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.34	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Sabah FK	33c	196.04$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.65	225	52%117 W · 108 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Kuopion PS	66c	186$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.43	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+98.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sabah FK	45c	173.15$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.55	1,021	35.3%360 W · 661 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Sabah FK	38c	159.98$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.79	143	32.2%46 W · 97 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f3…7d53backed Kuopion PS	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Kuopion PS	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Kuopion PS	62c	150$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	59cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Sabah FK	60c	149.97$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.98	446	47.3%211 W · 235 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Kuopion PS	66c	147.53$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.16	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x069a…7c82backed Sabah FK	41c	147.07$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Sabah FK	45c	144.89$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sabah FK	26c	140.05$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.04	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sabah FK	41c	138.14$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.1	633	46.3%293 W · 340 L	-21.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Kuopion PS	64c	138$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.37	149	42.3%63 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Kuopion PS	59c	132.35$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.76	308	56.8%175 W · 133 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sabah FK	17c	130.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	147	36.1%53 W · 94 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Kuopion PS	61c	128.1$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.14	222	45%100 W · 122 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kuopion PS	62c	120$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.78	650	50.2%326 W · 324 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Sabah FK	62c	111.29$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	125	56%70 W · 55 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Kuopion PS	56c	109.5$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.55	915	37.6%344 W · 571 L	+30.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Kuopion PS	39c	92.87$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.65	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Sabah FK	39c	76.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Kuopion PS	74c	67.54$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.56	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Kuopion PS	71c	67.53$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.58	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Kuopion PS	75c	64$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Kuopion PS	59c	59.8$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.52	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Sabah FK	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Kuopion PS	64c	50.28$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.28	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Sabah FK	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Kuopion PS	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sabah FK	37c	45.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	886	31.7%281 W · 605 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Sabah FK	42c	44.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9a…3333backed Sabah FK	57c	42.58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked Kuopion PS	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Kuopion PS	47c	40.6$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.42	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6616…878bbacked Sabah FK	53c	37.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…880ebacked Kuopion PS	68c	37.39$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.09	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	62cpaid	+40%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Kuopion PS	59c	35.95$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.74	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Kuopion PS	66c	34$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.56	119	37.8%45 W · 74 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Kuopion PS	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sabah FK	34c	33.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	607	48.4%294 W · 313 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Kuopion PS	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc4…3955backed Kuopion PS	57c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.61	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Kuopion PS	56c	23.58$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.37	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Kuopion PS	63c	22$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.14	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Kuopion PS	61c	20.32$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Kuopion PS	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed Kuopion PS	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Kuopion PS	75c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.05	73	63%46 W · 27 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	70cpaid	-2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8efa…be28backed Kuopion PS	73c	14.98$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	71cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)this page
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 0.5Over won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 1.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 4.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 5.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Under won
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Sabah FK won
Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)Sabah FK won
Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)Kuopion PS won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event