Champions League · resolved market
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0dc8ad1f015aa21fec8fcbc100f896177dcc0b32844cdcb321322c726ca865a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 2c | 8,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Over | 73c | 3,058$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Under | 73c | 2,410$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Under | 65c | 1,480$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 27c | 1,428$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.28 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 11c | 1,411$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,347$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.97 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 1,205$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.01 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Under | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 16c | 931.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf97…2cb3backed Over | 76c | 904.06$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Over | 42c | 721.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.67 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 45c | 685.47$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 56c | 615.28$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.11 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 70c | 497.27$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.17 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 6c | 412.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 11c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +320.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 60c | 393.24$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 242 | 45.9%111 W · 131 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 48c | 390.67$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 3c | 388$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 375.69$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.77 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 18c | 356.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Over | 48c | 299.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 296.95$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 67c | 248$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 76c | 235$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Under | 13c | 222.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 54c | 221.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 63c | 208.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 50c | 172.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 29c | 161.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 12c | 113.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 31c | 74.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…4be4backed Over | 21c | 71.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +375.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 30c | 65.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 28c | 60.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 44.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 42c | 31.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…fdaabacked Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 75c | 25.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 48c | 24.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Kuopion PS won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)Kuopion PS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.