Champions League · resolved market
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x907b325c45e3c908f6625a281c506d3a67c7108d9f25edc17893afb6c9d8aa6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 3,413$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.95 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 2,792$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.27 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 65c | 1,890$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.53 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd2…9a46backed Over | 35c | 618$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 35c | 553.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 542.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 270.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Over | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 35c | 165.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 34c | 133.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 133.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b7…a433backed Under | 66c | 95.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 70c | 79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 77.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Under | 67c | 74.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 63cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 34c | 71.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 33c | 64.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 34c | 56.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…324dbacked Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 74c | 36.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 35.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 69c | 27.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…85c8backed Under | 67c | 20.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Under | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Under | 66c | 16.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92e0…a37dbacked Under | 77c | 15.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5this page
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Kuopion PS won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)Kuopion PS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.