Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5978078a9e3216d30df29fd7b28a90f7517958ad8ceb0fbdfd0573324fd651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kuopion PSof Sabah FK, Kuopion PS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabah FK | 21c | 4,673$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.78 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Kuopion PS | 77c | 2,224$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.23 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sabah FK | 22c | 1,378$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Kuopion PS | 78c | 1,363$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.85 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sabah FK | 20c | 1,121$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kuopion PS | 79c | 898.73$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.73 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kuopion PS | 80c | 768$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Sabah FK | 21c | 569.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kuopion PS | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kuopion PS | 80c | 119.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sabah FK | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kuopion PS | 79c | 60.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed Kuopion PS | 80c | 59.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kuopion PS | 80c | 58.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sabah FK | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Kuopion PS | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Kuopion PS | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kuopion PS | 79c | 24.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Kuopion PS | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)this page
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Kuopion PS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.