Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eb00249ab1f81d7f88c39b949e8a4dddb53ec475edd22c05c8327dfea27abe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 13c | 3,380$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.08 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,150$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 20c | 2,400$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,302$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.56 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 22c | 1,622$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.18 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 26c | 904.81$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 27c | 444$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748d…26e2backed No | 76c | 395.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 19c | 389.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 381.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 374.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 75c | 270.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 216.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 189.11$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed No | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 159.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 135.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…95b3backed No | 76c | 132.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 98.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 25c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 60.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 52.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 48.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 47.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 76c | 19.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…f829backed No | 76c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.