Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77a3c89aa5a4ef78f2a1c3962b4b5dba204234a8a7e4fa9d6d8623a29802b326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0020…4d7ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 60c | 3,380$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.47 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 2,143$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.87 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 1,433$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 1,318$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.92 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 53c | 1,043$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.29 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 1,020$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.67 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 3c | 686$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 525.06$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.79 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 457.17$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 440.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 73c | 389.82$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 41c | 336.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 73c | 263.07$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 13c | 252$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 28c | 211.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 39c | 195.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 28c | 184.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 27c | 162$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 31c | 157.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 25c | 141.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 129$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 111.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 107.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 24c | 107.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 53c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 91.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 74c | 84.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 53c | 75.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 72c | 61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…20ccbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 72c | 49.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 26c | 48.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 44.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 66c | 40.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 74c | 24.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 77c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 15.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-11?No won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.