Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa135b615752a515010487df62bf8825bedf0577bdf8ef85fd7cfec3703007bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,614 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 43c | 3,311$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.63 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,362$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 46c | 1,427$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.52 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 72c | 695.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 43c | 689.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.91 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 671.65$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.65 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 66c | 450.53$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.22 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 76c | 291.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 46c | 254.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 43c | 132.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 104.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Over | 77c | 89.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 17c | 78.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 62.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 71c | 43.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 39.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 76c | 38.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 45c | 31.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f5c0backed Over | 46c | 21.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.