Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ecf42bda0ab600166059fa7f8224f6b2dd58fa104a6ab688326c1995b567a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invisionof Team Syntax, Invision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Syntax | 53c | 4,748$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.35 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Team Syntax | 25c | 4,693$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Syntax | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Invision | 36c | 1,829$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.77 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Invision | 63c | 1,151$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.52 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Syntax | 7c | 964.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Syntax | 78c | 959.09$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.09 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax | 79c | 884$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.59 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Invision | 54c | 610.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.24 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Invision | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Invision | 52c | 544.85$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.87 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Invision | 68c | 539.57$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.57 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…25bebacked Invision | 79c | 500$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax | 55c | 480.04$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.89 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Syntax | 12c | 408.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Invision | 48c | 320.49$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Invision | 65c | 308.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Team Syntax | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Invision | 58c | 288.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Invision | 49c | 261.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Invision | 44c | 236.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Invision | 33c | 209.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Invision | 52c | 169.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Invision | 20c | 164.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Invision | 61c | 149.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax | 12c | 146.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Invision | 44c | 134.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Team Syntax | 71c | 134.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Invision | 55c | 123.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Invision | 44c | 123.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…ac2dbacked Team Syntax | 80c | 123.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Syntax | 79c | 103.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Invision | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Invision | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed Invision | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Invision | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Syntax | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Invision | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Invision | 61c | 96.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Invision | 50c | 95.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Invision | 24c | 83.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Invision | 75c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Invision | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Invision | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Invision | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Invision | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Syntax | 78c | 52.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Invision | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28f8backed Invision | 39c | 50.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Syntax | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Invision | 67c | 49.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Invision | 78c | 46.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Invision | 59c | 37.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax | 43c | 26.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…561ebacked Invision | 59c | 25.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Invision | 65c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Syntax | 52c | 22.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Team Syntax | 80c | 19.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Syntax | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Invision - Game 2 WinnerInvision won
- Game Handicap: STX (-1.5) vs Invision (+1.5)Invision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.