Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Invision - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4cf21196387ae6cc75170694aca00ba4d3ef798c727b4e4d244dfd1f1e8e2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invisionof Team Syntax, Invision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Syntax | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Syntax | 76c | 1,921$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.39 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Invision | 27c | 1,622$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.13 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Invision | 24c | 1,350$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Syntax | 36c | 999.98$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Syntax | 44c | 657.74$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Invision | 45c | 566$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Syntax | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Syntax | 53c | 546$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.85 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Invision | 45c | 420$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Invision | 25c | 374$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Invision | 34c | 337.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.15 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Invision | 62c | 291.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Invision | 55c | 259.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Syntax | 48c | 196$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Invision | 46c | 179.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Invision | 55c | 177.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Invision | 41c | 175$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Invision | 57c | 174.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Invision | 61c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Invision | 34c | 125$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Team Syntax | 53c | 115.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Syntax | 14c | 101.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Invision | 55c | 84.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Invision | 42c | 70.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Syntax | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Syntax | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Team Syntax | 48c | 47.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Team Syntax | 37c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Invision | 59c | 38.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team Syntax | 37c | 35.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Team Syntax | 57c | 33.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Team Syntax | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Invision - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group BInvision won
- Game Handicap: STX (-1.5) vs Invision (+1.5)Invision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.