Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Aoran Wang vs Stefan Storch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bf1b990523505d839ab100cc6600cbe6d16355a05fceb7d89136a76fff4869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefan Storchof Aoran Wang, Stefan Storch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Stefan Storch | 46c | 17,675$8,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,473.52 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aoran Wang | 55c | 6,162$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.76 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Aoran Wang | 60c | 5,013$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.03 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aoran Wang | 52c | 2,568$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.83 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aoran Wang | 55c | 1,291$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.43 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Aoran Wang | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.54 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stefan Storch | 39c | 988$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.88 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Aoran Wang | 76c | 966.99$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.61 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aoran Wang | 50c | 772.54$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.52 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Stefan Storch | 41c | 583.56$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.3 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Stefan Storch | 47c | 506.01$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.3 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Aoran Wang | 48c | 486.61$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aoran Wang | 61c | 465.45$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.93 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Aoran Wang | 50c | 409.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stefan Storch | 31c | 287.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aoran Wang | 56c | 222.55$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Aoran Wang | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Aoran Wang | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Aoran Wang | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Stefan Storch | 41c | 178.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…0232backed Aoran Wang | 58c | 170.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Stefan Storch | 41c | 155.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Stefan Storch | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Aoran Wang | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Stefan Storch | 36c | 145.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Aoran Wang | 43c | 134$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Aoran Wang | 43c | 134$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Aoran Wang | 56c | 127.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Stefan Storch | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Stefan Storch | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Aoran Wang | 38c | 101.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Aoran Wang | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Aoran Wang | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Aoran Wang | 42c | 85.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Aoran Wang | 48c | 81.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Stefan Storch | 41c | 75.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Aoran Wang | 55c | 61.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Aoran Wang | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Stefan Storch | 75c | 51.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Stefan Storch | 42c | 44.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Aoran Wang | 55c | 43.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Aoran Wang | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Stefan Storch | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Aoran Wang | 48c | 39.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stefan Storch | 53c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Stefan Storch | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Aoran Wang | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Aoran Wang | 50c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Aoran Wang | 55c | 23.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.