Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs DMG Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d2f2091a14dd6a694d1b1191486976f3cfa4407e7f0a28f3dc0df81cd33b0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, DMG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Karmine Corp Blue | 78c | 14,558$11,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.5 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed DMG Esports | 22c | 7,807$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.48 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed DMG Esports | 22c | 5,006$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.96 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 79c | 2,294$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.26 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked DMG Esports | 22c | 2,011$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed DMG Esports | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.95 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked DMG Esports | 23c | 1,171$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.33 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked DMG Esports | 22c | 910$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked DMG Esports | 20c | 601.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 79c | 316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked DMG Esports | 18c | 179$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed DMG Esports | 22c | 137.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Karmine Corp Blue | 80c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DMG Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed DMG Esports | 21c | 97.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed DMG Esports | 17c | 67.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 78c | 50.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Karmine Corp Blue | 79c | 47.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked DMG Esports | 21c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 50c | 43.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Karmine Corp Blue | 57c | 31.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Karmine Corp Blue | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs DMG Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs DMG Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs DMG Esports - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs DMG Esports - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.