Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b6d64d36662d9a9226b796ef3eb0a91419939f3347ffdd00b3953e2d622e405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auraof Aura, Leviatán Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,379 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Leviatán Academy | 63c | 2,375$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.43 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leviatán Academy | 61c | 1,623$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.91 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aura | 46c | 1,529$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.68 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Aura | 40c | 1,478$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.77 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leviatán Academy | 53c | 1,353$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.74 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Aura | 51c | 374$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Leviatán Academy | 53c | 354.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.26 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aura | 35c | 295$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.85 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aura | 36c | 280.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.32 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aura | 46c | 260$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Aura | 41c | 203.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leviatán Academy | 62c | 135.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Leviatán Academy | 48c | 98.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Leviatán Academy | 31c | 65.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Leviatán Academy | 59c | 63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Leviatán Academy | 57c | 61.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Leviatán Academy | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Leviatán Academy | 45c | 59.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Leviatán Academy | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leviatán Academy | 48c | 38.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leviatán Academy | 40c | 35.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…3d11backed Leviatán Academy | 32c | 34.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Aura | 34c | 32.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Leviatán Academy | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Leviatán Academy | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Aura | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Leviatán Academy | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group StageLeviatán Academy won
- Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.