Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eaeb553bca48cd4a4b213ea75a1260d6bf8d007196b9a9bb06029668ba19fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Academyof Aura, Leviatán Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,592 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Leviatán Academy | 66c | 1,875$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aura | 33c | 863$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Leviatán Academy | 55c | 595.05$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.56 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Leviatán Academy | 77c | 553.3$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leviatán Academy | 56c | 264$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aura | 18c | 262.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aura | 6c | 212$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leviatán Academy | 70c | 169$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leviatán Academy | 61c | 160$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Leviatán Academy | 61c | 120.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Leviatán Academy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aura | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Aura | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Leviatán Academy | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Aura | 37c | 31.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group StageLeviatán Academy won
- Valorant: Aura vs Leviatán Academy - Map 1 WinnerAura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.