Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanes (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37afa2596a12a0888e6ad5429ed4c20b5b20eaa05bd9ec4b1cc29ca196da403e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Hurricanesof Stanford Cardinal, Miami Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Hurricanes | 62c | 2,114$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 1,463$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.87 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Miami Hurricanes | 76c | 941.4$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 71cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Hurricanes | 75c | 740.73$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…ca9cbacked Miami Hurricanes | 43c | 595.3$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stanford Cardinal | 5c | 490$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Miami Hurricanes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Miami Hurricanes | 40c | 435.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.84 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 32c | 393.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 306.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 129$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Miami Hurricanes | 42c | 125$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 47c | 120.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Stanford Cardinal | 69c | 112$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Miami Hurricanes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Stanford Cardinal | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 73.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Stanford Cardinal | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebca…5de4backed Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.