Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Evgeny Philippov vs Mukund Sasikumar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0847977a390889787430ff1642426886677402219d610588539b6f2aaa746ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mukund Sasikumarof Evgeny Philippov, Mukund Sasikumar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Evgeny Philippov | 43c | 1,869$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.39 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Evgeny Philippov | 58c | 1,818$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.03 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mukund Sasikumar | 55c | 1,509$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.82 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d696backed Mukund Sasikumar | 37c | 988.42$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +938.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Mukund Sasikumar | 48c | 912.45$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.45 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Evgeny Philippov | 50c | 404.6$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.71 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…cf7cbacked Mukund Sasikumar | 57c | 352.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…f8febacked Mukund Sasikumar | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Evgeny Philippov | 51c | 304.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Mukund Sasikumar | 41c | 286.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Evgeny Philippov | 56c | 252.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Mukund Sasikumar | 46c | 209.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Mukund Sasikumar | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Evgeny Philippov | 49c | 183.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Mukund Sasikumar | 56c | 179.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Evgeny Philippov | 57c | 167.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Mukund Sasikumar | 35c | 144.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Mukund Sasikumar | 58c | 114.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Mukund Sasikumar | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Mukund Sasikumar | 77c | 96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Mukund Sasikumar | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Mukund Sasikumar | 73c | 57.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Mukund Sasikumar | 57c | 43.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Mukund Sasikumar | 57c | 43.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Mukund Sasikumar | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Evgeny Philippov | 53c | 20.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.