Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a07e909df62f440d0ab07db8a29e67784c7eb3b62383df85a1d2b46789292e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida State Seminolesof Florida State Seminoles, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Florida State Seminoles | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 52c | 4,673$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.75 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 54c | 3,818$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.58 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 1,555$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.7 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 674.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 603.25$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 602.1$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 252.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 52c | 115.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 25.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 53c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Florida State Seminoles | 57c | 19.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-6.5)this page
- Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsFlorida State Seminoles won
- Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.