Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Cyprus vs Finland: Cyprus vs Finland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd2c055f7f0c93be28ab8550b37fea4de88fdbcbe352e1befbf7ffa78bf818a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cyprusof Cyprus, Finland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Finland | 0c | 83,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Finland | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Finland | 18c | 2,507$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.79 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Cyprus | 79c | 1,571$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.62 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Finland | 21c | 1,557$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.47 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cyprus | 77c | 613.27$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cyprus | 53c | 610.81$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.42 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Finland | 35c | 541.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Finland | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Finland | 37c | 482$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.48 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Cyprus | 74c | 463$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cyprus | 56c | 390.04$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Finland | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Finland | 42c | 175$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Finland | 48c | 99.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cyprus | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Finland | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Cyprus | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Cyprus | 76c | 42.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Finland | 39c | 38.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Finland | 49c | 36.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…6432backed Cyprus | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Finland | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Finland | 63c | 23.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…61bebacked Finland | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…4b21backed Cyprus | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.