CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: CHAOS (-1.5) vs WRAITH PCIFIC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c654676c8da814f908b612bcdd74785694755b13b55da070293a9dc2c718355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WRAITH PCIFICof CHAOS, WRAITH PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed CHAOS | 34c | 11,322$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.98 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 72c | 9,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 19c | 1,600$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed CHAOS | 62c | 1,332$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.28 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 25c | 1,274$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.15 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 971.8$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.23 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed CHAOS | 54c | 924.33$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.01 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 25c | 805$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.75 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 69c | 612.01$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 17c | 600$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 8c | 600$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 20c | 526$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.7 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 25c | 457.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.05 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 46c | 413.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.69 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked CHAOS | 51c | 399.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…4002backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 48c | 392.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 45c | 335$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 49c | 333.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 48c | 332$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked CHAOS | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 17c | 287.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.67 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed CHAOS | 70c | 285$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed CHAOS | 28c | 170.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 26c | 167.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed CHAOS | 55c | 135$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 11c | 123.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 55c | 108.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 65c | 106.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed CHAOS | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked CHAOS | 53c | 63.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 45c | 51.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 36c | 32.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed CHAOS | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CHAOS | 53c | 24.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: CHAOS (-1.5) vs WRAITH PCIFIC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group DWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 WinnerCHAOS won
- Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 WinnerWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.