CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84df5cfdac56d293edd488e30d9aee22aa9c3d843720aef9fc90c5edbcc96fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CHAOSof CHAOS, WRAITH PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed CHAOS | 79c | 3,894$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.41 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed CHAOS | 75c | 2,870$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.18 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed55…1932backed CHAOS | 66c | 2,782$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 32c | 2,154$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.06 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 8c | 1,925$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 30c | 1,902$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.01 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 26c | 1,620$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CHAOS | 75c | 1,407$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 14c | 1,207$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 29c | 760$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 8c | 634.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 591.71$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed CHAOS | 70c | 572.29$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 32c | 556$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 18c | 422.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 29c | 336.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed CHAOS | 71c | 325.72$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 323.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 16c | 305$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked CHAOS | 72c | 276.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 258$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 12c | 230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed CHAOS | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 197.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 14c | 149.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 24c | 149.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 29c | 132.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CHAOS | 68c | 122$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 28c | 115.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 28c | 100.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed CHAOS | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…b877backed CHAOS | 70c | 88.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 19c | 71.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group DWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 WinnerWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: CHAOS (-1.5) vs WRAITH PCIFIC (+1.5)WRAITH PCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.