CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d06fdbd66b175b4089aa53fbdcaa16798dde295b4dfd148b391c8826f409f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Over | 62c | 1,478$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.04 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed Under | 49c | 1,122$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.39 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 62c | 980$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.91 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Under | 36c | 856.84$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.43 | 357 | 39.2%140 W · 217 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Over | 52c | 800$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Over | 70c | 666$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed Over | 64c | 565.38$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.38 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Under | 79c | 506.56$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 35c | 404.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 40c | 269$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 461 | 43.4%200 W · 261 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Over | 29c | 262.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Under | 35c | 205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 50c | 146.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 39c | 140.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Under | 34c | 140.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 40c | 125.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Over | 31c | 119.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 57c | 81.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 257 | 33.9%87 W · 170 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 59c | 55.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 44c | 45.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 24.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group DWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 WinnerCHAOS won
- Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 WinnerWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Map Handicap: CHAOS (-1.5) vs WRAITH PCIFIC (+1.5)WRAITH PCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.