Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: DSY (-1.5) vs Otakar Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d62eecc1079d33dec7c5bbd316aef3b36765a3ff145fe0007aab0d48ae50edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otakar Esportsof DNSTY, Otakar Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,154 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed DNSTY | 61c | 4,400$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.88 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Otakar Esports | 40c | 1,606$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.92 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Otakar Esports | 38c | 1,590$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.81 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DNSTY | 1c | 1,226$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Otakar Esports | 56c | 1,049$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked DNSTY | 45c | 1,001$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.61 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Otakar Esports | 63c | 595.1$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…7044backed Otakar Esports | 38c | 539.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Otakar Esports | 39c | 380.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.83 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DNSTY | 62c | 309$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Otakar Esports | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d0b8backed Otakar Esports | 38c | 257.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Otakar Esports | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed DNSTY | 26c | 54.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…213ebacked Otakar Esports | 38c | 34.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Otakar Esports | 64c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Otakar Esports | 57c | 18.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: DSY (-1.5) vs Otakar Esports (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising PlayoffsDNSTY won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Otakar Esports - Map 1 WinnerOtakar Esports won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Otakar Esports - Map 2 WinnerDNSTY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.