Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: DNSTY vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc534ff440e6ea93a83e789c89c10447ca076a30871babda9ed7452edf6840d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DNSTYof DNSTY, Otakar Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,505 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked DNSTY | 66c | 11,329$7,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.44 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Otakar Esports | 39c | 5,148$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.9 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Otakar Esports | 23c | 1,508$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked DNSTY | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Otakar Esports | 26c | 881.79$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Otakar Esports | 22c | 752.49$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.76 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked DNSTY | 56c | 716$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.64 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Otakar Esports | 20c | 688.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Otakar Esports | 41c | 519$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Otakar Esports | 38c | 447.13$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked DNSTY | 77c | 440.37$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Otakar Esports | 17c | 439$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Otakar Esports | 17c | 430$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Otakar Esports | 23c | 418.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Otakar Esports | 23c | 396.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Otakar Esports | 6c | 389$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Otakar Esports | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Otakar Esports | 22c | 293.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Otakar Esports | 29c | 176.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Otakar Esports | 27c | 175.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Otakar Esports | 22c | 172.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Otakar Esports | 45c | 163.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked DNSTY | 80c | 125.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Otakar Esports | 20c | 123.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Otakar Esports | 22c | 101.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Otakar Esports | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Otakar Esports | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked DNSTY | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Otakar Esports | 23c | 89.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Otakar Esports | 14c | 88.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Otakar Esports | 26c | 87.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Otakar Esports | 24c | 80.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Otakar Esports | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Otakar Esports | 31c | 79.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Otakar Esports | 25c | 78.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Otakar Esports | 17c | 74.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DNSTY | 80c | 66.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Otakar Esports | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Otakar Esports | 21c | 64.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed DNSTY | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DNSTY | 78c | 59.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Otakar Esports | 30c | 58.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked DNSTY | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Otakar Esports | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed DNSTY | 63c | 44.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…bdc9backed DNSTY | 70c | 35.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…4bc9backed DNSTY | 75c | 33.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed DNSTY | 64c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed DNSTY | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed DNSTY | 78c | 17.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed DNSTY | 68c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: DSY (-1.5) vs Otakar Esports (+1.5)Otakar Esports won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Otakar Esports - Map 1 WinnerOtakar Esports won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Otakar Esports - Map 2 WinnerDNSTY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.