MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ec6c484989b6a9e55e809f41e402ef18ee650da37a3203e4317c7d71df34af6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed SSG Landers | 54c | 1,141$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.54 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 1,051$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.81 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked SSG Landers | 30c | 707.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.2 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 583.1$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.55 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 499.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 489.54$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 332.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.79 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 216.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked SSG Landers | 49c | 198.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed SSG Landers | 31c | 197.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 55c | 187.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Samsung Lions | 77c | 179.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 156.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 153.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 151.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 130$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SSG Landers | 50c | 128.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 127.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 114.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Samsung Lions | 44c | 113.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked SSG Landers | 51c | 93.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed SSG Landers | 55c | 87.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked SSG Landers | 57c | 84.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 84.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 84.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Samsung Lions | 19c | 81.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 80.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 78.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 54c | 76.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 76.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed SSG Landers | 54c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 73.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 71.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 69.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 46c | 67.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Samsung Lions | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…4ad4backed SSG Landers | 59c | 58.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed SSG Landers | 54c | 55.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…f527backed SSG Landers | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SSG Landers | 41c | 53.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61c…9ad2backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 45.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…6f63backed SSG Landers | 27c | 43.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…fc45backed SSG Landers | 65c | 43.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 42.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 41.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Samsung Lions | 27c | 37.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 37.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked SSG Landers | 53c | 36.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked SSG Landers | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed SSG Landers | 55c | 35.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked SSG Landers | 55c | 35.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 39c | 34.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SSG Landers | 55c | 33.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed SSG Landers | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed SSG Landers | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…a6a9backed SSG Landers | 50c | 28.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…8d5dbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 27.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…8ca3backed SSG Landers | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…ff88backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…fd99backed SSG Landers | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…6e2fbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 24.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 22.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17c…e5c2backed SSG Landers | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed SSG Landers | 65c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.