Fifa International · resolved market
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb9c56857fca1ff0df567bc3f33877d5b8badad08a1c4a1e80397dac462aeb14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 9,770$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,482.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 56c | 6,987$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.41 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 57c | 3,593$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.92 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 2,107$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,807$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.16 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed No | 57c | 1,792$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed No | 60c | 853.73$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.4 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed No | 62c | 709$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed No | 54c | 343.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.57 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 43c | 276$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 56c | 237$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 203.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 25c | 199.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 51c | 181.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 49c | 174.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 43c | 168.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…c046backed Yes | 45c | 149.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked No | 75c | 139.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 58c | 138.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…a913backed Yes | 43c | 108.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 42c | 101.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 49c | 59.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 75c | 30.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed No | 75c | 30.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 43c | 27.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 45c | 27.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 52c | 22.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 54c | 20.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 80c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liberia (-1.5)Liberia won
- Spread: Liberia (-2.5)Sierra Leone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.