Fifa International · resolved market
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4492762d2a703daad604dcf4f755895636537734c383a6dc32f56fc326303170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 43c | 1,578$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.16 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 56c | 1,511$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.02 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 13c | 1,364$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.32 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Under | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 43c | 491.08$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.92 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 18c | 442.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 71c | 310$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.73 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 43c | 202.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 45c | 182.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 171.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 46c | 142.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 43c | 135.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 57c | 128.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 17c | 126.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 76c | 106.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 37c | 105.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 43c | 91.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 64c | 85.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 65c | 69.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 51c | 68.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 50c | 59.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Over | 46c | 59.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…95c6backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 46c | 37.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 35c | 32.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 45c | 26.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Under | 65c | 23.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Under | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…9f90backed Under | 78c | 15.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…7fc9backed Under | 79c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5this page
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liberia (-1.5)Liberia won
- Spread: Liberia (-2.5)Sierra Leone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.