Fifa International · resolved market
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fddc4c90f1bf893ce49c413153af6d23b02f7d33903c0d901dfc1a55b16e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 21c | 1,280$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.14 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 79c | 1,272$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 560.92$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 69c | 432.05$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 68c | 287.74$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…ef65backed Under | 47c | 246.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 230.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 16c | 161.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 37c | 161.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Under | 68c | 152.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 42c | 148.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 74c | 135.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 38c | 121.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 38c | 115.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 67c | 89.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 88.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 45c | 88.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 33c | 80.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 48.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Under | 21c | 48.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…2819backed Over | 65c | 46.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 64c | 44.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 41c | 33.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Under | 68c | 31.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 69c | 27.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5this page
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liberia (-1.5)Liberia won
- Spread: Liberia (-2.5)Sierra Leone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.