Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Ivan Gretskiy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe80f93429391611a0903e59d17a5fd53f3e4f24017851000900976cef4522759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pawit Sornlaksupof Pawit Sornlaksup, Ivan Gretskiy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ivan Gretskiy | 30c | 6,141$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.72 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Ivan Gretskiy | 32c | 3,767$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.99 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 77c | 2,844$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.03 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 62c | 2,762$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.07 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 66c | 2,113$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ivan Gretskiy | 32c | 774.31$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.42 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 46c | 758.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.18 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Ivan Gretskiy | 31c | 613.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Ivan Gretskiy | 19c | 564.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 57c | 493$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ivan Gretskiy | 31c | 293.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 69c | 268$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 63c | 241.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 79c | 241.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1731…f124backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 69c | 212.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ivan Gretskiy | 36c | 186.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 48c | 155.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 66c | 148.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 57c | 139.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 40c | 133$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ivan Gretskiy | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Ivan Gretskiy | 39c | 85.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 74c | 84.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ivan Gretskiy | 19c | 83.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 73c | 82.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 80c | 81.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 75c | 65.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 79c | 61.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Ivan Gretskiy | 19c | 58.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3b…7890backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 73c | 58.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 66c | 51.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ivan Gretskiy | 50c | 51.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ivan Gretskiy | 23c | 44.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Ivan Gretskiy | 52c | 44.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 40c | 43.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 478 | 51.5%246 W · 232 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Ivan Gretskiy | 30c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 59c | 40.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ivan Gretskiy | 38c | 36.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ivan Gretskiy | 33c | 35.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ivan Gretskiy | 38c | 34.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 170 | 73.5%125 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ivan Gretskiy | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 80c | 25.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 76c | 22.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…158bbacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.