CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs MASONIC (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51dc4aea237458b4ed7d92d00fc445d2bfcd3d12ecb60a6570b4c6afac10b5c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof Johnny Speeds, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,193 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 2,686$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.66 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…64d8backed MASONIC | 32c | 2,608$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…38d6backed Johnny Speeds | 68c | 2,608$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked MASONIC | 29c | 691.6$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.61 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 28c | 624$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MASONIC | 28c | 550.17$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 49c | 426.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MASONIC | 26c | 331.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 44c | 321.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Johnny Speeds | 42c | 286.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MASONIC | 44c | 258$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 240$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MASONIC | 48c | 231.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed MASONIC | 28c | 205.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.83 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MASONIC | 69c | 152$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MASONIC | 39c | 147.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed MASONIC | 70c | 139.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked MASONIC | 65c | 128.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked MASONIC | 44c | 103.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Johnny Speeds | 69c | 103.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MASONIC | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked MASONIC | 42c | 81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 74c | 67.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 51.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Johnny Speeds | 42c | 38.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked MASONIC | 43c | 38.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Johnny Speeds | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Johnny Speeds | 39c | 29.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Johnny Speeds | 70c | 28.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked MASONIC | 50c | 27.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed MASONIC | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Johnny Speeds | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.