CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AaB esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2de9a89cf6eb612113639c497d1648a5df52e93ce8d983b38f40db933c3bf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB esportof Sashi Esport, AaB esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,693 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sashi Esport | 62c | 2,703$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked AaB esport | 38c | 1,978$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed AaB esport | 42c | 714.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.54 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sashi Esport | 58c | 395$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d0b8backed AaB esport | 38c | 361.58$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…314ebacked Sashi Esport | 57c | 335$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…37bcbacked Sashi Esport | 57c | 295$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39db…2a1bbacked Sashi Esport | 57c | 290$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Sashi Esport | 58c | 282.49$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AaB esport | 50c | 249.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…1e9abacked AaB esport | 43c | 242$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…1658backed Sashi Esport | 57c | 238$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ab…7e06backed AaB esport | 43c | 223$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…fe68backed AaB esport | 43c | 213$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed AaB esport | 38c | 191.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a9…3d3abacked AaB esport | 43c | 177$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…07b0backed AaB esport | 43c | 176$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…d7acbacked AaB esport | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked AaB esport | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Sashi Esport | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AaB esport | 41c | 95.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked AaB esport | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Sashi Esport | 36c | 79.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Sashi Esport | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AaB esport | 61c | 73.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed AaB esport | 60c | 72.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed AaB esport | 50c | 68.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…8fe8backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 66.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked AaB esport | 61c | 53.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Sashi Esport | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed AaB esport | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…41d6backed AaB esport | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked AaB esport | 48c | 40.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Sashi Esport | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Sashi Esport | 39c | 38.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked AaB esport | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked AaB esport | 55c | 30.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AaB esport | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed AaB esport | 62c | 29.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.