Tennis · resolved market
Roman Andres Burruchaga vs. Adam Walton: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ef3152850fa02e21b5bba0eed31f8cbc012f770c486636a7f873a83b657e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8c5…787cbacked Over 2.5 | 12c | 1,661$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…a955backed Over 2.5 | 48c | 1,634$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over 2.5 | 36c | 615$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under 2.5 | 58c | 308.55$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under 2.5 | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 63c | 198.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under 2.5 | 52c | 108.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 99.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 94.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +494.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…1c82backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 92.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 68.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over 2.5 | 37c | 59.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over 2.5 | 38c | 29.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roman Andres Burruchaga vs. Adam Walton: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Burruchaga vs. Walton: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Burruchaga vs. Walton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Burruchaga vs. Walton: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Burruchaga vs WaltonBurruchaga won
- Set Handicap: Burruchaga (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)Burruchaga won
- US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Adam WaltonRoman Andres Burruchaga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.