Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1b0ea406dd8012db6136192ace0699b18f9ed0eb10a665d8c182d3d5c8387c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,578$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.3 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked No | 9c | 1,338$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 32c | 884.96$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.74 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 34c | 800.08$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.68 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 73c | 606.77$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.06 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 38c | 535.6$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.27 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 16c | 473.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 66c | 384.48$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.57 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…8858backed Yes | 61c | 337.11$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 50c | 299.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 72c | 294.18$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 38c | 276.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.86 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…09afbacked Yes | 5c | 271.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.53 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 264.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 261.18$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 9c | 258.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 76c | 256.87$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 11c | 245.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 73c | 240.31$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 13c | 233.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.26 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…70b2backed Yes | 61c | 219.26$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 47c | 217.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 215.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 8c | 179.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…c978backed Yes | 27c | 172.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 92 | 13%12 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…1096backed Yes | 25c | 150.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked No | 69c | 150$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Yes | 65c | 148.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 66c | 146.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 18c | 143.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 14c | 139.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 14c | 131.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3d…d6a5backed Yes | 61c | 127.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 27c | 125.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked Yes | 30c | 124.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 73c | 122.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…07febacked Yes | 80c | 122.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 60c | 121.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 77c | 112.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 31c | 107.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 22c | 102.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 33c | 100.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 67c | 91.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 66c | 88.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed Yes | 59c | 83.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…156cbacked Yes | 58c | 83.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 60c | 81.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 79.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…394dbacked Yes | 63c | 76.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…083ebacked No | 21c | 72.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 17c | 67.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9439…9d6fbacked Yes | 73c | 66.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…8a8dbacked Yes | 29c | 63.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…075fbacked Yes | 79c | 61.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 18c | 60.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 59c | 59.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 66c | 58.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 61c | 55.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 47c | 52.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 56c | 51.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…cecdbacked Yes | 68c | 47.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 28c | 45.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…6b9abacked No | 25c | 45.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 57c | 44.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 67c | 42.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…f75dbacked Yes | 74c | 39.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…aa50backed Yes | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed No | 31c | 37.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 67c | 35.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9a…4373backed Yes | 64c | 34.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…01b9backed Yes | 56c | 34.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed No | 62c | 32.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 60c | 31.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed Yes | 62c | 30.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4068backed Yes | 47c | 29.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…f58bbacked No | 37c | 28.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 26.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…b243backed Yes | 64c | 19.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed No | 75c | 19.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 79c | 17.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.