Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8379a3ad9a4a3927d34edfd802c0888fa407ee39bf05a9d41adbc073abb13d2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Viking FKof Viking FK, IK Start
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed IK Start | 61c | 6,047$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.69 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Viking FK | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.96 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Viking FK | 38c | 2,350$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.84 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed IK Start | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed IK Start | 12c | 1,065$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked IK Start | 61c | 559.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.83 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Viking FK | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Viking FK | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked IK Start | 22c | 273.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked IK Start | 31c | 214$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed IK Start | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Viking FK | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Viking FK | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Viking FK | 69c | 171.8$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed IK Start | 31c | 129.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Viking FK | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Viking FK | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed IK Start | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Viking FK | 38c | 103.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed IK Start | 60c | 91.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed IK Start | 21c | 65.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Viking FK | 68c | 55.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Viking FK | 40c | 52.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed Viking FK | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Viking FK | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed IK Start | 30c | 35.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Viking FK | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Viking FK | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed IK Start | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed IK Start | 61c | 16.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)this page
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: IK Start O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.