Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbed9cc49931b9a903e4bb3c200b3bd00899ccb3304bedf7b116f9a7c94203f44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 9,426$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 7,092$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 32c | 6,054$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.32 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 4,055$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.89 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 76c | 1,686$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.57 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 26c | 1,408$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.48 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,292$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 53c | 1,070$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 23c | 1,063$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 60c | 1,009$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.23 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 74c | 953.21$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.15 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8c…c7b5backed Over | 24c | 685.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 67c | 671.38$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.87 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 67c | 448.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 77c | 350$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 76c | 349.37$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 71c | 304.29$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 59c | 255$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 71c | 197.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 77c | 146.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 127.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 77c | 120.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 90.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 68c | 81.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 68c | 80.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 58c | 69.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 74c | 67.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 75c | 55.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Over | 24c | 52.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 47.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 76c | 31.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 58c | 30.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…b9cfbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 26.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 78c | 25.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 58c | 24.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Over | 56c | 20.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 75c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5this page
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: IK Start O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.