Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea824c351c9c9f14fcfb11aa1d4c64774fe4db519dc02b80f2b837585bb7b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 68c | 13,582$9,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.87 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 67c | 5,254$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.58 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 3,629$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 3,514$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.09 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 33c | 2,500$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.53 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 2,500$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.24 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 2,409$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 1,769$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.83 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 32c | 1,618$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.57 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 64c | 1,198$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.39 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 70c | 1,086$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.37 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 75c | 1,062$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.73 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 31c | 920.19$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 68c | 710.91$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 34c | 620.01$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 76c | 515.74$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 65c | 477.53$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 36c | 409.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 332.78$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 6c | 207.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 34c | 187$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 32c | 150.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 34c | 147.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 22c | 141.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 35c | 101.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 29c | 101.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 17c | 98.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 63c | 60.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 30c | 45.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 35c | 44.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 31c | 40.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 36c | 30.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…4494backed Over | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5this page
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: IK Start O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.