Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18246794315570e12987586bb5d25b450a65a9df98b8e1fcabb23ae882aec01c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 3,417$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 12c | 2,858$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.01 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,409$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.24 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 1,764$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.69 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 14c | 1,412$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 23c | 1,095$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.89 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Yes | 14c | 565$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 21c | 476.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +850.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 449.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Yes | 16c | 337.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 7c | 325.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 14c | 297.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 16c | 261.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 15c | 192.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 7c | 166.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 8c | 151.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 16c | 123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…4389backed Yes | 19c | 122.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 19c | 122.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 18c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 15c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 20c | 76.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked No | 77c | 40.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.