Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Worcestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba850cb836fce8e7732a15b13a112f673569438b9a55f7b618f078f8be40f4bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Somersetof Somerset, Worcestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Worcestershire | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb480…92b9backed Worcestershire | 2c | 4,674$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +426.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Somerset | 78c | 1,484$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.88 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Somerset | 79c | 1,469$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.49 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Worcestershire | 18c | 1,277$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.72 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Worcestershire | 18c | 1,025$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1baf…39d6backed Worcestershire | 28c | 996.55$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.05 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…de2ebacked Somerset | 63c | 472.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Somerset | 64c | 462.01$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Worcestershire | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Somerset | 78c | 449.7$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Worcestershire | 36c | 330$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Worcestershire | 21c | 280.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Worcestershire | 26c | 267$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Somerset | 76c | 250.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Worcestershire | 11c | 211$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Worcestershire | 12c | 203.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Somerset | 79c | 189.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Worcestershire | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Worcestershire | 32c | 158$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Worcestershire | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Worcestershire | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Worcestershire | 25c | 147$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Worcestershire | 14c | 144.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Somerset | 61c | 136.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Worcestershire | 35c | 127.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Worcestershire | 27c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Worcestershire | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Worcestershire | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…8590backed Worcestershire | 41c | 96.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…2c2cbacked Somerset | 59c | 88.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Worcestershire | 28c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Somerset | 78c | 83.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Worcestershire | 24c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Somerset | 69c | 81.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Somerset | 65c | 78.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Worcestershire | 39c | 76.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Worcestershire | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Worcestershire | 40c | 59.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Worcestershire | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Worcestershire | 33c | 53.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Worcestershire | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Worcestershire | 34c | 47.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Worcestershire | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Worcestershire | 34c | 30.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Somerset | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Somerset | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…2ae5backed Somerset | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Somerset | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…d9f2backed Somerset | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.