Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Somerset vs Warwickshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x404f214cba8052de10e6dd06d6c5e883cb6c08a6d9f6ec990be39ce72560f899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Somersetof Somerset, Warwickshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Warwickshire | 10c | 4,125$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Warwickshire | 3c | 800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Somerset | 72c | 224.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Warwickshire | 24c | 214.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Somerset | 49c | 199$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Somerset | 54c | 185.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Warwickshire | 50c | 166$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Warwickshire | 46c | 162.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Warwickshire | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Somerset | 49c | 148$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warwickshire | 49c | 109$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Warwickshire | 24c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Somerset | 77c | 84.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Somerset | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Somerset | 78c | 63.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Somerset | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Warwickshire | 45c | 45.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Warwickshire | 47c | 42.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Warwickshire | 47c | 29.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Warwickshire | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…fcd4backed Somerset | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…f4a3backed Warwickshire | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…a696backed Somerset | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…393cbacked Warwickshire | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed Somerset | 54c | 23.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Somerset | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…7215backed Somerset | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…fa45backed Warwickshire | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.