Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Worcestershire vs Hampshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9f6588cbef97e1baf0b2256ac3127fae622baae653becd2ec2ef300b75bd62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Worcestershireof Worcestershire, Hampshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Hampshire | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hampshire | 29c | 1,337$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.11 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Worcestershire | 73c | 1,104$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.56 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hampshire | 18c | 604.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Worcestershire | 48c | 592.22$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.86 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Hampshire | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hampshire | 24c | 485.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Hampshire | 5c | 335.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hampshire | 53c | 259.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Hampshire | 22c | 253.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hampshire | 53c | 230.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hampshire | 53c | 210.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hampshire | 36c | 208$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hampshire | 48c | 133.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Hampshire | 53c | 131.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Worcestershire | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Worcestershire | 57c | 104.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Hampshire | 31c | 102.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Hampshire | 30c | 93.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hampshire | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Worcestershire | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Worcestershire | 66c | 72.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Hampshire | 32c | 62.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Worcestershire | 69c | 60.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Worcestershire | 77c | 47.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Hampshire | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…33f4backed Hampshire | 50c | 41.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked Worcestershire | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Worcestershire | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Worcestershire | 76c | 31.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Worcestershire | 58c | 29.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Worcestershire | 60c | 28.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…f596backed Worcestershire | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Worcestershire | 47c | 23.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.