CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb23ff9c4ff517b0f169a67c1b0c79080b88f7c7b5fbbef97768c9a13fd8fc173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Misa Esports, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bebop | 52c | 6,285$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 3,590$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.22 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 3,405$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.86 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bebop | 47c | 1,518$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.12 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bebop | 61c | 1,328$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.04 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed Misa Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Misa Esports | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bebop | 38c | 654.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.72 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 43c | 650.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 44c | 453.25$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 50c | 449.87$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 60c | 344$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 44c | 342.97$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 44c | 284.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Bebop | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Misa Esports | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Misa Esports | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bebop | 37c | 175.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bebop | 56c | 166.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Misa Esports | 48c | 150.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Misa Esports | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bebop | 41c | 141.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Bebop | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Misa Esports | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Misa Esports | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…095dbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 52.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Misa Esports | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Misa Esports | 59c | 39.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bebop | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Bebop | 66c | 30.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group ABebop won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.