CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0668ab63dc006fc69208acd4b2c3c97945b40382cfe36e02ca1d3de47d8432da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Misa Esports, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bebop | 64c | 1,391$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.65 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 31c | 1,265$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.88 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bebop | 61c | 1,161$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.29 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Misa Esports | 25c | 642.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Misa Esports | 34c | 503.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.08 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 25c | 433.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 74c | 432.46$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 33c | 364.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bebop | 70c | 341.11$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 320.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.79 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bebop | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Misa Esports | 29c | 150.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 29c | 121.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports | 31c | 121.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bebop | 72c | 118.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 112.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Misa Esports | 31c | 111.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 29c | 100.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 34c | 84.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Misa Esports | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…7fd4backed Misa Esports | 17c | 65.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Bebop | 71c | 45.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Bebop | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Bebop | 71c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Bebop | 67c | 27.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 65c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.