College Football · resolved market
Wake Forest vs. Duke
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x909d5a606e1f799894e32d1a8415d8b7a27cf499a2f0e8eb4f21547621063abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dukeof Wake Forest, Duke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Duke | 53c | 15,651$8,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,355.75 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wake Forest | 45c | 11,368$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.47 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Duke | 53c | 10,000$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wake Forest | 41c | 8,091$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.4 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Wake Forest | 47c | 7,486$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.48 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Duke | 55c | 6,512$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.6 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wake Forest | 45c | 6,187$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.1 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Wake Forest | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wake Forest | 33c | 4,286$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.8 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke | 68c | 3,986$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.19 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Wake Forest | 35c | 2,959$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.16 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Duke | 54c | 2,715$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.9 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Duke | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Duke | 68c | 1,955$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.53 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Wake Forest | 48c | 1,800$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.63 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duke | 66c | 1,470$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.71 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wake Forest | 47c | 1,414$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.45 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Duke | 53c | 1,101$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.44 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Wake Forest | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Wake Forest | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Duke | 58c | 873.06$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.69 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wake Forest | 25c | 759.02$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Duke | 57c | 705.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.31 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Wake Forest | 47c | 704.6$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest | 44c | 677.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Duke | 52c | 634.18$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Wake Forest | 47c | 568$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wake Forest | 47c | 512.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Duke | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wake Forest | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…397abacked Duke | 70c | 428.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Duke | 52c | 420.41$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59e…17d7backed Wake Forest | 25c | 404.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Wake Forest | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Duke | 53c | 374.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.78 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke | 53c | 372.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.23 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Duke | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wake Forest | 47c | 327.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Wake Forest | 37c | 318.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wake Forest | 47c | 317$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Duke | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Wake Forest | 46c | 259.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Wake Forest | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Wake Forest | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Wake Forest | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Duke | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wake Forest | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Duke | 75c | 166.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Wake Forest | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Wake Forest | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wake Forest | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wake Forest | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Duke | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Wake Forest | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Wake Forest | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Wake Forest | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Duke | 52c | 110.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wake Forest | 44c | 108.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Duke | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wake Forest | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Wake Forest | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Wake Forest | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Wake Forest | 31c | 96.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb952…e602backed Duke | 52c | 90.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wake Forest | 47c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Wake Forest | 48c | 86.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Wake Forest | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wake Forest | 41c | 65.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…0a5ebacked Wake Forest | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…6977backed Wake Forest | 48c | 57.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…62c8backed Wake Forest | 48c | 55.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0597…d065backed Duke | 54c | 54.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf944…ba53backed Duke | 54c | 54.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…312ebacked Duke | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef3…0b4bbacked Duke | 53c | 51.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duke | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…d5bdbacked Duke | 53c | 49.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe9…56afbacked Wake Forest | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…6afebacked Wake Forest | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…99fdbacked Wake Forest | 49c | 45.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7f…f61bbacked Duke | 53c | 45.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6029…68a7backed Wake Forest | 47c | 45.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786e…964ebacked Duke | 53c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Duke | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b9…ec78backed Wake Forest | 48c | 44.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b9…6a74backed Wake Forest | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed Duke | 52c | 41.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fd…4a16backed Duke | 53c | 40.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Wake Forest | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…942cbacked Wake Forest | 47c | 40.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wake Forest | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Wake Forest | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Duke | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Wake Forest | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Wake Forest | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Wake Forest | 45c | 38.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5875…febfbacked Wake Forest | 49c | 38.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…50cbbacked Wake Forest | 49c | 37.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…90b9backed Duke | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2446…61c1backed Duke | 53c | 35.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wake Forest vs. Dukethis page
- Spread: Duke (-1.5)Duke won
- Spread: Duke (-2.5)Duke won
- Spread: Duke (-3.5)Duke won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.