TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Wake Forest vs. Duke

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dukeof Wake Forest, Duke
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Duke53c15,651$8,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,355.7593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wake Forest45c11,368$5,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,154.4752449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1c9…96d9backed Duke53c10,000$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wake Forest41c8,091$3,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Wake Forest47c7,486$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.483056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Duke55c6,512$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.629055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wake Forest45c6,187$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.129249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Wake Forest47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Wake Forest33c4,286$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.817443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke68c3,986$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.1921538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Wake Forest35c2,959$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.169048.9%44 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Duke54c2,715$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.939954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Duke53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Duke68c1,955$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.5364841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Wake Forest48c1,800$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.6334529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Duke66c1,470$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.7162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Wake Forest47c1,414$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.4549443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Duke53c1,101$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.4420450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Wake Forest45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Wake Forest47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Duke58c873.06$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wake Forest25c759.02$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2455350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Duke57c705.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.3122437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Wake Forest47c704.6$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.212759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest44c677.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Duke52c634.18$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4121055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Wake Forest47c568$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.964847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wake Forest47c512.99$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8525629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Duke76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wake Forest48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d51…397abacked Duke70c428.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Duke52c420.41$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20313452.2%70 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb59e…17d7backed Wake Forest25c404.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Wake Forest47c404.26$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Duke53c374.18$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7850358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Duke53c372.83$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.232,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Duke54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16121348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Wake Forest47c327.27$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.828752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Wake Forest37c318.49$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.543625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wake Forest47c317$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.757830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Duke72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Wake Forest46c259.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.192937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Wake Forest47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Wake Forest47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.410944%48 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Wake Forest47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Duke53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947445.9%34 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Wake Forest48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9665945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Duke75c166.86$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2126939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Wake Forest45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Wake Forest14c160$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.625819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Wake Forest45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Wake Forest47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.528032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Duke70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8610664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda53…9209backed Wake Forest34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.852343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Wake Forest45c115$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7556844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Wake Forest48c115$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Duke52c110.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wake Forest44c108.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.717361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Duke52c106$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.131,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Wake Forest46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Wake Forest47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Wake Forest47c97.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Wake Forest31c96.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb952…e602backed Duke52c90.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wake Forest47c89.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6612433.1%41 W · 83 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4b…84c9backed Wake Forest48c86.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Wake Forest45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3529351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wake Forest41c65.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c86…0a5ebacked Wake Forest47c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9e…6977backed Wake Forest48c57.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…62c8backed Wake Forest48c55.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0597…d065backed Duke54c54.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf944…ba53backed Duke54c54.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c6…312ebacked Duke52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef3…0b4bbacked Duke53c51.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duke74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f9…d5bdbacked Duke53c49.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe9…56afbacked Wake Forest49c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef00…6afebacked Wake Forest49c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1cd…99fdbacked Wake Forest49c45.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7f…f61bbacked Duke53c45.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6029…68a7backed Wake Forest47c45.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786e…964ebacked Duke53c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ba…8497backed Duke56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.643839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b9…ec78backed Wake Forest48c44.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b9…6a74backed Wake Forest49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed Duke52c41.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.673050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fd…4a16backed Duke53c40.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Wake Forest49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd883…942cbacked Wake Forest47c40.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wake Forest47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.821644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Wake Forest47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Duke52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed Wake Forest49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Wake Forest46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.333751.4%19 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Wake Forest45c38.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5875…febfbacked Wake Forest49c38.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae0…50cbbacked Wake Forest49c37.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…90b9backed Duke54c35.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2446…61c1backed Duke53c35.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.