Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x110b622653e97d1bfb6b361b3aca2610d05b34fec327eaa62e59cc9c4697126c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof BetBoom Team, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed BetBoom Team | 28c | 24,457$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,955.93 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 6,868$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.19 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 6,305$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.56 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked BetBoom Team | 17c | 4,677$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.04 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 72c | 4,606$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.87 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Team Falcons | 67c | 4,173$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.45 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked BetBoom Team | 53c | 3,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,963$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.34 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…63c8backed BetBoom Team | 35c | 2,942$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,287$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked BetBoom Team | 15c | 2,133$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed BetBoom Team | 46c | 1,974$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.8 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,416$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.41 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,127$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.63 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…a8cbbacked BetBoom Team | 47c | 1,056$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed BetBoom Team | 46c | 983.91$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.39 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed BetBoom Team | 11c | 887.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed BetBoom Team | 19c | 815.36$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3d85backed BetBoom Team | 15c | 757.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked BetBoom Team | 12c | 750$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1b…cd39backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 699.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 693.98$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked BetBoom Team | 17c | 600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BetBoom Team | 41c | 591.55$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.62 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…9f4bbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 554.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked BetBoom Team | 24c | 471.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…e2b7backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 413.33$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…494dbacked BetBoom Team | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed BetBoom Team | 25c | 344.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…cf46backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 331.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed Team Falcons | 53c | 298$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…e80bbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 277.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 235.88$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked BetBoom Team | 22c | 222.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 188.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…6fe3backed Team Falcons | 77c | 185.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…b9d1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked BetBoom Team | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed BetBoom Team | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…3d7dbacked BetBoom Team | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 130.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 71c | 123.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…f682backed BetBoom Team | 34c | 121.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…458bbacked BetBoom Team | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6bb8backed Team Falcons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Team Falcons | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed BetBoom Team | 33c | 83.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 79.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…d3fabacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 70.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…73f6backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 66.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…ca9bbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 65.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…197ebacked BetBoom Team | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Team Falcons | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 3 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.