Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cbff757e13b49f08d302faba9f7cb6bf17586918006f182d17bdea6d2692578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof BetBoom Team, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 4,905$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.88 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed BetBoom Team | 33c | 1,688$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.87 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,266$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.42 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…536bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 986.17$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked BetBoom Team | 31c | 917.75$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…b4a0backed Team Falcons | 73c | 840.67$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Team Falcons | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…4895backed Team Falcons | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 650.52$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked BetBoom Team | 36c | 644.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.11 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 61c | 568.29$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Team Falcons | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked BetBoom Team | 13c | 449.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Falcons | 79c | 404.95$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 398.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked BetBoom Team | 38c | 390.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3d85backed BetBoom Team | 7c | 319.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Falcons | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked BetBoom Team | 41c | 246.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked BetBoom Team | 41c | 243.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Falcons | 60c | 172$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…fe66backed Team Falcons | 71c | 166.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…80f5backed Team Falcons | 68c | 152.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 143.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…2814backed Team Falcons | 66c | 103.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…3d7dbacked BetBoom Team | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 92.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 78.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Team Falcons | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…6fe3backed Team Falcons | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…38a9backed Team Falcons | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO5)Team Falcons won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.