Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Hugo Gaston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947919c41ebfa65ee9b55e92d63d3586cc766559c310af9b628a46c12e0bd994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gastonof Kopriva, Gaston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c84…7342backed Kopriva | 46c | 9,918$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Gaston | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gaston | 50c | 3,561$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.58 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7318…cc3cbacked Gaston | 53c | 3,444$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Kopriva | 44c | 3,396$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kopriva | 21c | 2,345$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Kopriva | 48c | 2,281$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gaston | 62c | 1,642$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.61 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Gaston | 75c | 1,609$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.24 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kopriva | 34c | 1,479$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kopriva | 9c | 1,276$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Kopriva | 41c | 1,217$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kopriva | 40c | 1,073$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.17 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Gaston | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gaston | 66c | 952.51$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.59 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gaston | 66c | 898$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.32 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Gaston | 23c | 869$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.13 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Kopriva | 48c | 773.82$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Gaston | 50c | 679.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Gaston | 78c | 666.52$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Kopriva | 41c | 587.13$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Kopriva | 28c | 471.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Gaston | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Kopriva | 46c | 434.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kopriva | 48c | 416.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Gaston | 51c | 389.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kopriva | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Kopriva | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Kopriva | 17c | 295.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gaston | 64c | 283.77$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gaston | 65c | 268.93$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Kopriva | 55c | 265.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc837…2e91backed Gaston | 58c | 214.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Kopriva | 30c | 212$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Kopriva | 48c | 211.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kopriva | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Gaston | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Kopriva | 49c | 205.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Kopriva | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kopriva | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Gaston | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gaston | 71c | 140.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Kopriva | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Kopriva | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kopriva | 48c | 116.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kopriva | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kopriva | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Gaston | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Kopriva | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kopriva | 21c | 67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kopriva | 28c | 58.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kopriva | 44c | 57.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Kopriva | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Gaston | 53c | 37.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Gaston | 52c | 29.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked Gaston | 58c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Gaston | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Kopriva | 50c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Gaston | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Hugo Gastonthis page
- Kopriva vs. Gaston: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Kopriva vs GastonGaston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.