Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3050563c5b3a1996bde67a19e18faffa77323d43dc0625989ac4297b9e4b1406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 35c | 12,100$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 10,220$6,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.75 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 36c | 3,440$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 3,160$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.24 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 49c | 2,029$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 1,688$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.1 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 65c | 1,100$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 34c | 1,082$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 839.48$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed No | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 551.46$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 33c | 438.16$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 37c | 408.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 13c | 327.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 38c | 263.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 11c | 220$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 188.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 151.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 39c | 149$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 66c | 143.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 35c | 135.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…d713backed Yes | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 34c | 105.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked No | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 65c | 92.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 34c | 70.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…5429backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 35c | 54.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 38c | 53.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c00…89aebacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222f…44c9backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…d7ffbacked Yes | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 59c | 43.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 64c | 39.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…2c2abacked Yes | 36c | 37.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 64c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 65c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 65c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 64c | 19.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will OGC Nice vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.